Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 15 near 16–17°C under predominantly clear skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing and allow moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the implied probability peak at 16°C, consistent with observed overnight trends from recent days and above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.6°C. Light winds and low humidity support gradual temperature decline after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could raise the minimum toward 18°C. Official resolution will depend on the lowest hourly reading at the reference station, with final model runs and Météo-France guidance expected to refine the outcome before midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 15?
16°C 41%
17°C 32%
18°C 13%
15°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
9%
16°C
41%
17°C
32%
18°C
13%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 41%
17°C 32%
18°C 13%
15°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$10 KL.
2%
12°C
$10 KL.
3%
13°C
$90 KL.
2%
14°C
$106 KL.
4%
15°C
$116 KL.
9%
16°C
$310 KL.
41%
17°C
$364 KL.
32%
18°C
$242 KL.
13%
19°C
$101 KL.
7%
20°C
$106 KL.
2%
21°C or higher
$69 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 15 near 16–17°C under predominantly clear skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing and allow moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the implied probability peak at 16°C, consistent with observed overnight trends from recent days and above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.6°C. Light winds and low humidity support gradual temperature decline after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could raise the minimum toward 18°C. Official resolution will depend on the lowest hourly reading at the reference station, with final model runs and Météo-France guidance expected to refine the outcome before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,523Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 15 near 16–17°C under predominantly clear skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing and allow moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the implied probability peak at 16°C, consistent with observed overnight trends from recent days and above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.6°C. Light winds and low humidity support gradual temperature decline after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could raise the minimum toward 18°C. Official resolution will depend on the lowest hourly reading at the reference station, with final model runs and Météo-France guidance expected to refine the outcome before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,523Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 15 near 16–17°C under predominantly clear skies and light southerly winds that limit mixing and allow moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the implied probability peak at 16°C, consistent with observed overnight trends from recent days and above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.6°C. Light winds and low humidity support gradual temperature decline after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could raise the minimum toward 18°C. Official resolution will depend on the lowest hourly reading at the reference station, with final model runs and Météo-France guidance expected to refine the outcome before midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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