Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over western Europe, with light northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies favoring a daily maximum of 26–28°C in Paris on September 14. These conditions support afternoon peaks near 27°C as the consensus outcome, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities. Above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C, the outlook reflects modest warm advection without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Updated model runs show minimal spread for this short-range period, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could adjust the exact peak by 1°C. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on September 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 14?
27°C 38%
28°C 25%
26°C 22%
29°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
22%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 38%
28°C 25%
26°C 22%
29°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$5 KL.
1%
23°C
$5 KL.
2%
24°C
$0 KL.
3%
25°C
$70 KL.
6%
26°C
$574 KL.
22%
27°C
$162 KL.
38%
28°C
$573 KL.
25%
29°C
$496 KL.
9%
30°C
$80 KL.
3%
31°C
$0 KL.
2%
32°C or higher
$20 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over western Europe, with light northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies favoring a daily maximum of 26–28°C in Paris on September 14. These conditions support afternoon peaks near 27°C as the consensus outcome, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities. Above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C, the outlook reflects modest warm advection without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Updated model runs show minimal spread for this short-range period, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could adjust the exact peak by 1°C. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,985Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over western Europe, with light northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies favoring a daily maximum of 26–28°C in Paris on September 14. These conditions support afternoon peaks near 27°C as the consensus outcome, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities. Above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C, the outlook reflects modest warm advection without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Updated model runs show minimal spread for this short-range period, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could adjust the exact peak by 1°C. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,985Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure pattern over western Europe, with light northwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies favoring a daily maximum of 26–28°C in Paris on September 14. These conditions support afternoon peaks near 27°C as the consensus outcome, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities. Above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C, the outlook reflects modest warm advection without significant cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Updated model runs show minimal spread for this short-range period, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could adjust the exact peak by 1°C. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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