Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 26–27°C in Paris on September 13 under high pressure near 1021 hPa, light westerly winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This setup favors afternoon heating without strong mixing or cloud suppression, placing the expected maximum near the seasonal norm adjusted for recent warmth. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25–27°C (over 85% combined) aligns with this model consensus and the absence of major forecast shifts in the past 24–48 hours. Historical averages for the date hover near 22°C, underscoring how the current pattern supports above-normal readings while limiting upside risk from stronger ridging or downside from increased cloudiness. Updated model runs and observational trends through early afternoon will refine the precise peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on September 13?
26°C 40%
25°C 23%
27°C 22%
24°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
23%
26°C
40%
27°C
22%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 23%
27°C 22%
24°C 8%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
23%
26°C
40%
27°C
22%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high of 26–27°C in Paris on September 13 under high pressure near 1021 hPa, light westerly winds, and partly to mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation. This setup favors afternoon heating without strong mixing or cloud suppression, placing the expected maximum near the seasonal norm adjusted for recent warmth. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25–27°C (over 85% combined) aligns with this model consensus and the absence of major forecast shifts in the past 24–48 hours. Historical averages for the date hover near 22°C, underscoring how the current pattern supports above-normal readings while limiting upside risk from stronger ridging or downside from increased cloudiness. Updated model runs and observational trends through early afternoon will refine the precise peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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