**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 14 in the 15–17°C range under a stable high-pressure pattern with light northwest winds and partly cloudy skies.** This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without strong cold advection or clear skies that would drive sharper drops. Current guidance shows daytime highs near 26–28°C, with the overnight low likely occurring just before dawn amid dew points around 15°C and minimal wind. Historical September averages sit near 11–12°C, so the mild air mass keeps probabilities concentrated on 15–17°C while still leaving room for 12°C or below if clouds clear more than expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, key variables for the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 14?
15°C 40%
14°C 39%
12°C or below 29%
18°C 26%
12°C or below
29%
13°C
20%
14°C
39%
15°C
31%
16°C
26%
17°C
23%
18°C
26%
19°C
21%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
15°C 40%
14°C 39%
12°C or below 29%
18°C 26%
12°C or below
29%
13°C
20%
14°C
39%
15°C
31%
16°C
26%
17°C
23%
18°C
26%
19°C
21%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 14 in the 15–17°C range under a stable high-pressure pattern with light northwest winds and partly cloudy skies.** This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling without strong cold advection or clear skies that would drive sharper drops. Current guidance shows daytime highs near 26–28°C, with the overnight low likely occurring just before dawn amid dew points around 15°C and minimal wind. Historical September averages sit near 11–12°C, so the mild air mass keeps probabilities concentrated on 15–17°C while still leaving room for 12°C or below if clouds clear more than expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, key variables for the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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