Latest forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and global ensembles indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Singapore on September 14, consistent with the market’s leading 52.5% and 40.5% implied probabilities. Typical September climatology features daytime highs near 31.6°C, but recent southeasterly flow and scattered showers—expected to bring 30–50% rain probability—may moderate peak readings slightly below the prior day’s 33°C potential while limiting strong afternoon heating. Low probabilities for 31°C or below reflect limited cooling from cloud cover, whereas odds above 34°C remain minimal absent clear skies or unusual subsidence. Updated model runs and official Meteorological Service Singapore guidance ahead of the date will refine these ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on September 14?
32°C 55%
33°C 34%
31°C 11%
30°C 2.9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
55%
33°C
34%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
33°C 34%
31°C 11%
30°C 2.9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
55%
33°C
34%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and global ensembles indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Singapore on September 14, consistent with the market’s leading 52.5% and 40.5% implied probabilities. Typical September climatology features daytime highs near 31.6°C, but recent southeasterly flow and scattered showers—expected to bring 30–50% rain probability—may moderate peak readings slightly below the prior day’s 33°C potential while limiting strong afternoon heating. Low probabilities for 31°C or below reflect limited cooling from cloud cover, whereas odds above 34°C remain minimal absent clear skies or unusual subsidence. Updated model runs and official Meteorological Service Singapore guidance ahead of the date will refine these ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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