Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 33°C in Singapore on September 13, aligning with the market's strong 75.5% implied probability for that outcome. Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, combined with an ongoing El Niño event driving above-normal temperatures across Southeast Asia, support elevated daytime heat under partly cloudy skies and limited rainfall. Official outlooks note typical September maxima near 31°C but anticipate 33–35°C on several days amid drier regional conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range around 32–33°C given model agreement and historical inter-monsoon patterns, with resolution hinging on official Meteorological Service Singapore observations the following day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on September 13?
33°C 79%
32°C 20%
31°C 3%
30°C 2%
$15,792 KL.
$15,792 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
20%
33°C
79%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 79%
32°C 20%
31°C 3%
30°C 2%
$15,792 KL.
$15,792 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
20%
33°C
79%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 33°C in Singapore on September 13, aligning with the market's strong 75.5% implied probability for that outcome. Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, combined with an ongoing El Niño event driving above-normal temperatures across Southeast Asia, support elevated daytime heat under partly cloudy skies and limited rainfall. Official outlooks note typical September maxima near 31°C but anticipate 33–35°C on several days amid drier regional conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range around 32–33°C given model agreement and historical inter-monsoon patterns, with resolution hinging on official Meteorological Service Singapore observations the following day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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