Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, converge on a high of 30–32°C for Madrid on September 12 under clear skies and light winds, positioning 32°C as the leading market outcome. Stable high pressure and seasonal insolation support daytime heating above the 27.3°C climatological average, while the city’s 655 m elevation and moderate humidity limit further warming. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant fronts or cloud cover expected to alter the peak. Historical records indicate 34.6°C as the September 12 maximum, but current conditions align more closely with recent years’ 29–31°C readings, reinforcing trader focus on the 31–33°C range ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on September 12?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 12?
32°C 60%
31°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
27%
32°C
60%
33°C
15%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
31°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
$413 KL.
<1%
28°C
$348 KL.
1%
29°C
$360 KL.
<1%
30°C
$339 KL.
3%
31°C
$1,810 KL.
27%
32°C
$2,665 KL.
60%
33°C
$1,723 KL.
15%
34°C
$264 KL.
<1%
35°C
$264 KL.
<1%
36°C
$392 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$145 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, converge on a high of 30–32°C for Madrid on September 12 under clear skies and light winds, positioning 32°C as the leading market outcome. Stable high pressure and seasonal insolation support daytime heating above the 27.3°C climatological average, while the city’s 655 m elevation and moderate humidity limit further warming. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant fronts or cloud cover expected to alter the peak. Historical records indicate 34.6°C as the September 12 maximum, but current conditions align more closely with recent years’ 29–31°C readings, reinforcing trader focus on the 31–33°C range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,723Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, converge on a high of 30–32°C for Madrid on September 12 under clear skies and light winds, positioning 32°C as the leading market outcome. Stable high pressure and seasonal insolation support daytime heating above the 27.3°C climatological average, while the city’s 655 m elevation and moderate humidity limit further warming. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant fronts or cloud cover expected to alter the peak. Historical records indicate 34.6°C as the September 12 maximum, but current conditions align more closely with recent years’ 29–31°C readings, reinforcing trader focus on the 31–33°C range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,723Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based guidance, converge on a high of 30–32°C for Madrid on September 12 under clear skies and light winds, positioning 32°C as the leading market outcome. Stable high pressure and seasonal insolation support daytime heating above the 27.3°C climatological average, while the city’s 655 m elevation and moderate humidity limit further warming. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant fronts or cloud cover expected to alter the peak. Historical records indicate 34.6°C as the September 12 maximum, but current conditions align more closely with recent years’ 29–31°C readings, reinforcing trader focus on the 31–33°C range ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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