Current forecast models indicate a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13 under clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent anticyclonic conditions across the Iberian Peninsula have suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, allowing strong solar heating and above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 27.1°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity further support efficient surface warming without significant advection of cooler air. Latest model runs show little day-to-day shift, with only minor ensemble spread around the 32–34°C range; any last-minute adjustment in the 00Z or 12Z guidance could influence final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on September 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 13?
33°C 59%
32°C 35%
34°C 7%
31°C 2.1%
MỚI
$12,688 KL.
MỚI
$12,688 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
35%
33°C
59%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 35%
34°C 7%
31°C 2.1%
MỚI
$12,688 KL.
MỚI
$12,688 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
26°C or below
$239 KL.
<1%
27°C
$173 KL.
<1%
28°C
$320 KL.
<1%
29°C
$260 KL.
<1%
30°C
$226 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,730 KL.
2%
32°C
$3,932 KL.
35%
33°C
$2,984 KL.
59%
34°C
$2,184 KL.
7%
35°C
$228 KL.
1%
36°C or higher
$414 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13 under clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent anticyclonic conditions across the Iberian Peninsula have suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, allowing strong solar heating and above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 27.1°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity further support efficient surface warming without significant advection of cooler air. Latest model runs show little day-to-day shift, with only minor ensemble spread around the 32–34°C range; any last-minute adjustment in the 00Z or 12Z guidance could influence final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,688Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13 under clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent anticyclonic conditions across the Iberian Peninsula have suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, allowing strong solar heating and above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 27.1°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity further support efficient surface warming without significant advection of cooler air. Latest model runs show little day-to-day shift, with only minor ensemble spread around the 32–34°C range; any last-minute adjustment in the 00Z or 12Z guidance could influence final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,688Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a daytime maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13 under clear skies and a stable high-pressure ridge, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent anticyclonic conditions across the Iberian Peninsula have suppressed cloud cover and precipitation, allowing strong solar heating and above-normal temperatures relative to the 1991–2020 average high of 27.1°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity further support efficient surface warming without significant advection of cooler air. Latest model runs show little day-to-day shift, with only minor ensemble spread around the 32–34°C range; any last-minute adjustment in the 00Z or 12Z guidance could influence final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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