**Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 85°F for Chicago on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with south-southwest winds of 5–11 mph.** This positions the 84–85°F outcome as the market leader at 61.5% implied probability, ahead of 86–87°F at 36.0%. Model guidance and observational trends support a peak in the mid-80s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 77.5°F but well below historical extremes like the 96°F record from 1952. Light precipitation chances remain low during peak heating hours, limiting cooling effects, while steering patterns favor modest warming without significant advection of hotter air. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 84–87°F range with minimal allocation to bins outside that window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on September 12?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 12?
84-85°F 62%
86-87°F 36%
82-83°F 4%
88-89°F 2%
$18,792 KL.
$18,792 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
62%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 62%
86-87°F 36%
82-83°F 4%
88-89°F 2%
$18,792 KL.
$18,792 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
73°F or below
$508 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$508 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$200 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$227 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,059 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,637 KL.
4%
84-85°F
$3,904 KL.
62%
86-87°F
$5,571 KL.
36%
88-89°F
$1,578 KL.
2%
90-91°F
$1,273 KL.
<1%
92°F or higher
$1,325 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 85°F for Chicago on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with south-southwest winds of 5–11 mph.** This positions the 84–85°F outcome as the market leader at 61.5% implied probability, ahead of 86–87°F at 36.0%. Model guidance and observational trends support a peak in the mid-80s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 77.5°F but well below historical extremes like the 96°F record from 1952. Light precipitation chances remain low during peak heating hours, limiting cooling effects, while steering patterns favor modest warming without significant advection of hotter air. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 84–87°F range with minimal allocation to bins outside that window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,792Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 85°F for Chicago on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with south-southwest winds of 5–11 mph.** This positions the 84–85°F outcome as the market leader at 61.5% implied probability, ahead of 86–87°F at 36.0%. Model guidance and observational trends support a peak in the mid-80s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 77.5°F but well below historical extremes like the 96°F record from 1952. Light precipitation chances remain low during peak heating hours, limiting cooling effects, while steering patterns favor modest warming without significant advection of hotter air. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 84–87°F range with minimal allocation to bins outside that window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$18,792Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 85°F for Chicago on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with south-southwest winds of 5–11 mph.** This positions the 84–85°F outcome as the market leader at 61.5% implied probability, ahead of 86–87°F at 36.0%. Model guidance and observational trends support a peak in the mid-80s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 77.5°F but well below historical extremes like the 96°F record from 1952. Light precipitation chances remain low during peak heating hours, limiting cooling effects, while steering patterns favor modest warming without significant advection of hotter air. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 84–87°F range with minimal allocation to bins outside that window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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