Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a high near 78°F for New York City on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southeast winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with the historical average high of 77.7°F for the date and positions the 78-79°F range as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and dew points supporting modest warmth rather than extremes, while the 76-77°F and 80-81°F bins capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Official observations at LaGuardia will determine resolution, with traders weighting the consensus guidance heavily given stable conditions through the period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on September 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 12?
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 23%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
54%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 23%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
69°F or below
$194 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$311 KL.
1%
72-73°F
$528 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$231 KL.
4%
76-77°F
$1,034 KL.
23%
78-79°F
$1,074 KL.
54%
80-81°F
$766 KL.
19%
82-83°F
$357 KL.
2%
84-85°F
$219 KL.
2%
86-87°F
$272 KL.
1%
88°F or higher
$457 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a high near 78°F for New York City on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southeast winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with the historical average high of 77.7°F for the date and positions the 78-79°F range as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and dew points supporting modest warmth rather than extremes, while the 76-77°F and 80-81°F bins capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Official observations at LaGuardia will determine resolution, with traders weighting the consensus guidance heavily given stable conditions through the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,442Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a high near 78°F for New York City on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southeast winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with the historical average high of 77.7°F for the date and positions the 78-79°F range as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and dew points supporting modest warmth rather than extremes, while the 76-77°F and 80-81°F bins capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Official observations at LaGuardia will determine resolution, with traders weighting the consensus guidance heavily given stable conditions through the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,442Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a high near 78°F for New York City on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southeast winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with the historical average high of 77.7°F for the date and positions the 78-79°F range as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and dew points supporting modest warmth rather than extremes, while the 76-77°F and 80-81°F bins capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Official observations at LaGuardia will determine resolution, with traders weighting the consensus guidance heavily given stable conditions through the period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp