**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers or thunderstorms overnight are the main drivers keeping NYC's expected low temperature clustered in the 70–73°F range for September 13.** Official National Weather Service guidance from the New York office projects lows of 68–69°F at major airports and around 68°F in Central Park, while several private models and ensemble runs trend slightly warmer near 70–72°F due to limited radiational cooling under overcast skies and steady onshore flow. The close split in market-implied odds between 70–71°F and 72–73°F reflects minor differences in forecast timing of heaviest rain and boundary-layer moisture retention, which can suppress overnight drops by 2–4°F compared with clearer conditions. A modest chance of localized clearing or stronger winds could allow readings to dip toward 68–69°F, but current model consensus favors the warmer side of that narrow band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on September 13?
72-73°F 40%
70-71°F 39%
68-69°F 15%
74-75°F 11%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 40%
70-71°F 39%
68-69°F 15%
74-75°F 11%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers or thunderstorms overnight are the main drivers keeping NYC's expected low temperature clustered in the 70–73°F range for September 13.** Official National Weather Service guidance from the New York office projects lows of 68–69°F at major airports and around 68°F in Central Park, while several private models and ensemble runs trend slightly warmer near 70–72°F due to limited radiational cooling under overcast skies and steady onshore flow. The close split in market-implied odds between 70–71°F and 72–73°F reflects minor differences in forecast timing of heaviest rain and boundary-layer moisture retention, which can suppress overnight drops by 2–4°F compared with clearer conditions. A modest chance of localized clearing or stronger winds could allow readings to dip toward 68–69°F, but current model consensus favors the warmer side of that narrow band.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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