Persistent heat and high dew points from southeast flow have kept Houston's overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a minimum near 80°F on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market's strong 86% implied probability on 78-79°F, reflecting observed model consensus from recent runs showing minimal radiational cooling amid humid conditions. Upper-70s readings remain possible if skies clear fully overnight, while probabilities on cooler bins like 72-73°F stay secondary absent any incoming front or increased cloud cover. Updated NHC and local observations through evening will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Houston on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 15?
78-79°F 98%
71°F or below 73%
74-75°F 73%
72-73°F 72%
$1,043 KL.
$1,043 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
71°F or below
73%
72-73°F
72%
74-75°F
73%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
92%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 98%
71°F or below 73%
74-75°F 73%
72-73°F 72%
$1,043 KL.
$1,043 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
71°F or below
$0 KL.
73%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
72%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
73%
76-77°F
$80 KL.
20%
78-79°F
$124 KL.
92%
80-81°F
$708 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$82 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$16 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$16 KL.
<1%
90°F or higher
$16 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat and high dew points from southeast flow have kept Houston's overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a minimum near 80°F on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market's strong 86% implied probability on 78-79°F, reflecting observed model consensus from recent runs showing minimal radiational cooling amid humid conditions. Upper-70s readings remain possible if skies clear fully overnight, while probabilities on cooler bins like 72-73°F stay secondary absent any incoming front or increased cloud cover. Updated NHC and local observations through evening will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,043Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat and high dew points from southeast flow have kept Houston's overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a minimum near 80°F on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market's strong 86% implied probability on 78-79°F, reflecting observed model consensus from recent runs showing minimal radiational cooling amid humid conditions. Upper-70s readings remain possible if skies clear fully overnight, while probabilities on cooler bins like 72-73°F stay secondary absent any incoming front or increased cloud cover. Updated NHC and local observations through evening will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,043Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat and high dew points from southeast flow have kept Houston's overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a minimum near 80°F on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market's strong 86% implied probability on 78-79°F, reflecting observed model consensus from recent runs showing minimal radiational cooling amid humid conditions. Upper-70s readings remain possible if skies clear fully overnight, while probabilities on cooler bins like 72-73°F stay secondary absent any incoming front or increased cloud cover. Updated NHC and local observations through evening will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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