Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services point to clear skies and southerly winds moderating coastal temperatures in Qingdao on September 15, with model consensus favoring a daily maximum near 27°C. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where sea breezes often cap peaks even under stable high pressure. Trader positioning at 30°C and 31°C as the leading outcomes, however, reflects the market's assessment of upside potential from any model shifts, localized heating, or measurement variations at official stations. With resolution hinging on the official highest recorded value and no major weather systems approaching, implied probabilities incorporate both the baseline forecast and uncertainty in short-term guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 15?
30°C 47%
31°C 34%
32°C or higher 10%
29°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
47%
31°C
34%
32°C or higher
10%
30°C 47%
31°C 34%
32°C or higher 10%
29°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
22°C or below
$74 KL.
<1%
23°C
$66 KL.
1%
24°C
$10 KL.
<1%
25°C
$10 KL.
1%
26°C
$10 KL.
1%
27°C
$336 KL.
1%
28°C
$93 KL.
2%
29°C
$280 KL.
5%
30°C
$1,498 KL.
47%
31°C
$782 KL.
34%
32°C or higher
$1,821 KL.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services point to clear skies and southerly winds moderating coastal temperatures in Qingdao on September 15, with model consensus favoring a daily maximum near 27°C. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where sea breezes often cap peaks even under stable high pressure. Trader positioning at 30°C and 31°C as the leading outcomes, however, reflects the market's assessment of upside potential from any model shifts, localized heating, or measurement variations at official stations. With resolution hinging on the official highest recorded value and no major weather systems approaching, implied probabilities incorporate both the baseline forecast and uncertainty in short-term guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,979Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services point to clear skies and southerly winds moderating coastal temperatures in Qingdao on September 15, with model consensus favoring a daily maximum near 27°C. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where sea breezes often cap peaks even under stable high pressure. Trader positioning at 30°C and 31°C as the leading outcomes, however, reflects the market's assessment of upside potential from any model shifts, localized heating, or measurement variations at official stations. With resolution hinging on the official highest recorded value and no major weather systems approaching, implied probabilities incorporate both the baseline forecast and uncertainty in short-term guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,979Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services point to clear skies and southerly winds moderating coastal temperatures in Qingdao on September 15, with model consensus favoring a daily maximum near 27°C. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where sea breezes often cap peaks even under stable high pressure. Trader positioning at 30°C and 31°C as the leading outcomes, however, reflects the market's assessment of upside potential from any model shifts, localized heating, or measurement variations at official stations. With resolution hinging on the official highest recorded value and no major weather systems approaching, implied probabilities incorporate both the baseline forecast and uncertainty in short-term guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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