Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains is sustaining above-average heat across central Texas, with south-southeasterly flow and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s supporting daytime highs near 99–100 °F on September 16. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble guidance from recent model runs cluster in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any weak shortwave disturbance could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F. Updated NWS forecasts and afternoon soundings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on September 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 16?
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 36%
96-97°F 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
89°F or below
7%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
36%
104-105°F
20%
106-107°F
18%
108°F or higher
10%
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 36%
96-97°F 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
89°F or below
$0 KL.
7%
90-91°F
$0 KL.
13%
92-93°F
$0 KL.
13%
94-95°F
$0 KL.
18%
96-97°F
$0 KL.
28%
98-99°F
$0 KL.
37%
100-101°F
$50 KL.
41%
102-103°F
$0 KL.
36%
104-105°F
$0 KL.
20%
106-107°F
$0 KL.
18%
108°F or higher
$0 KL.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains is sustaining above-average heat across central Texas, with south-southeasterly flow and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s supporting daytime highs near 99–100 °F on September 16. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble guidance from recent model runs cluster in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any weak shortwave disturbance could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F. Updated NWS forecasts and afternoon soundings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains is sustaining above-average heat across central Texas, with south-southeasterly flow and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s supporting daytime highs near 99–100 °F on September 16. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble guidance from recent model runs cluster in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any weak shortwave disturbance could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F. Updated NWS forecasts and afternoon soundings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent upper-level ridging over the southern Plains is sustaining above-average heat across central Texas, with south-southeasterly flow and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s supporting daytime highs near 99–100 °F on September 16. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble guidance from recent model runs cluster in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins. Minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any weak shortwave disturbance could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F. Updated NWS forecasts and afternoon soundings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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