Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for downtown Los Angeles and nearby stations indicate a September 16 high in the mid to upper 70s, driven by persistent marine layer influence and moderate southwest onshore flow that limits daytime heating. This pattern aligns with the climatological average high of 76°F and current conditions showing no strong offshore winds or clear-sky radiative warming to push readings higher. Trader emphasis on the 76-77°F bin reflects these stable, near-normal conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer bins absent any forecast shift from updated model runs or observed temperature trends through the afternoon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16?
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 5%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 52%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 5%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for downtown Los Angeles and nearby stations indicate a September 16 high in the mid to upper 70s, driven by persistent marine layer influence and moderate southwest onshore flow that limits daytime heating. This pattern aligns with the climatological average high of 76°F and current conditions showing no strong offshore winds or clear-sky radiative warming to push readings higher. Trader emphasis on the 76-77°F bin reflects these stable, near-normal conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer bins absent any forecast shift from updated model runs or observed temperature trends through the afternoon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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