Latest National Weather Service and local forecasts for Denver on September 18 point to scattered thunderstorms and highs in the low to mid-80s, driving the near-even market split between 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins. Afternoon cloud cover, precipitation timing, and variable southeasterly winds are the key variables that could cap or allow the daily maximum, with model runs showing minor differences in storm coverage and peak heating. These conditions align closely with September climatology near 78-80°F while reflecting short-term uncertainty typical of convective days, where even modest shifts in insolation or outflow boundaries can alter the observed high by a degree or two before official verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Denver on September 18?
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 19%
84-85°F 13%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 19%
84-85°F 13%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and local forecasts for Denver on September 18 point to scattered thunderstorms and highs in the low to mid-80s, driving the near-even market split between 80-81°F and 82-83°F bins. Afternoon cloud cover, precipitation timing, and variable southeasterly winds are the key variables that could cap or allow the daily maximum, with model runs showing minor differences in storm coverage and peak heating. These conditions align closely with September climatology near 78-80°F while reflecting short-term uncertainty typical of convective days, where even modest shifts in insolation or outflow boundaries can alter the observed high by a degree or two before official verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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