Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on September 18, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This setup aligns with the historical average high of 70.8°F for the date and explains why the 70–71°F bin holds the highest market-implied probability at 43.5%, followed by 72–73°F at 32%. Slight model spread in afternoon clearing and wind speeds creates the secondary support for the low-70s outcome, while cooler scenarios remain possible if fog lingers longer than expected. The market will resolve on the official maximum recorded at the downtown or airport station once the calendar day ends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 18?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 18?
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
63°F or below
$94 KL.
1%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
2%
66-67°F
$15 KL.
5%
68-69°F
$357 KL.
19%
70-71°F
$126 KL.
44%
72-73°F
$508 KL.
32%
74-75°F
$255 KL.
5%
76-77°F
$65 KL.
4%
78-79°F
$40 KL.
2%
80-81°F
$86 KL.
1%
82°F or higher
$6 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on September 18, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This setup aligns with the historical average high of 70.8°F for the date and explains why the 70–71°F bin holds the highest market-implied probability at 43.5%, followed by 72–73°F at 32%. Slight model spread in afternoon clearing and wind speeds creates the secondary support for the low-70s outcome, while cooler scenarios remain possible if fog lingers longer than expected. The market will resolve on the official maximum recorded at the downtown or airport station once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,553Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on September 18, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This setup aligns with the historical average high of 70.8°F for the date and explains why the 70–71°F bin holds the highest market-implied probability at 43.5%, followed by 72–73°F at 32%. Slight model spread in afternoon clearing and wind speeds creates the secondary support for the low-70s outcome, while cooler scenarios remain possible if fog lingers longer than expected. The market will resolve on the official maximum recorded at the downtown or airport station once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,553Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 67–70°F in San Francisco on September 18, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This setup aligns with the historical average high of 70.8°F for the date and explains why the 70–71°F bin holds the highest market-implied probability at 43.5%, followed by 72–73°F at 32%. Slight model spread in afternoon clearing and wind speeds creates the secondary support for the low-70s outcome, while cooler scenarios remain possible if fog lingers longer than expected. The market will resolve on the official maximum recorded at the downtown or airport station once the calendar day ends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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