Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by WeatherBug project sunny skies and highs in the mid-90s for Houston on September 18, 2026, following scattered storms on the 17th that clear overnight. Light easterly winds, minimal cloud cover, and strong late-summer insolation favor efficient daytime heating, with heat indices potentially exceeding 100°F. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 92–95°F outcomes at over 90% combined, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus for a peak near 94–95°F. Minor uncertainty remains from local variations or slight forecast adjustments, though no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are indicated ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on September 18?
94-95°F 44%
92-93°F 43%
96-97°F 7%
90-91°F 6%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
44%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
2%
100°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 44%
92-93°F 43%
96-97°F 7%
90-91°F 6%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
44%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
2%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by WeatherBug project sunny skies and highs in the mid-90s for Houston on September 18, 2026, following scattered storms on the 17th that clear overnight. Light easterly winds, minimal cloud cover, and strong late-summer insolation favor efficient daytime heating, with heat indices potentially exceeding 100°F. These conditions align with the market-implied probabilities favoring 92–95°F outcomes at over 90% combined, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus for a peak near 94–95°F. Minor uncertainty remains from local variations or slight forecast adjustments, though no major shifts in steering patterns or moisture are indicated ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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