Current National Weather Service and GFS model guidance positions a high near 76–78°F as the most probable outcome for Los Angeles on September 18, aligning with the market’s leading 76–77°F bin at 55.5% implied probability. Coastal marine layer effects and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit daytime heating at official measurement sites such as LAX, keeping values close to the long-term September 18 average high of 76.2°F. Recent model runs show little spread, with minimal risk of stronger offshore winds or clear-sky amplification that could push readings into the upper 70s or low 80s. Updated forecast discussions and final station observations tomorrow will determine exact resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 18?
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 39%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 39%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
63°F or below
$125 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$125 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$135 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$135 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
2%
72-73°F
$380 KL.
3%
74-75°F
$1,647 KL.
39%
76-77°F
$3,977 KL.
55%
78-79°F
$624 KL.
8%
80-81°F
$55 KL.
1%
82°F or higher
$55 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and GFS model guidance positions a high near 76–78°F as the most probable outcome for Los Angeles on September 18, aligning with the market’s leading 76–77°F bin at 55.5% implied probability. Coastal marine layer effects and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit daytime heating at official measurement sites such as LAX, keeping values close to the long-term September 18 average high of 76.2°F. Recent model runs show little spread, with minimal risk of stronger offshore winds or clear-sky amplification that could push readings into the upper 70s or low 80s. Updated forecast discussions and final station observations tomorrow will determine exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,258Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and GFS model guidance positions a high near 76–78°F as the most probable outcome for Los Angeles on September 18, aligning with the market’s leading 76–77°F bin at 55.5% implied probability. Coastal marine layer effects and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit daytime heating at official measurement sites such as LAX, keeping values close to the long-term September 18 average high of 76.2°F. Recent model runs show little spread, with minimal risk of stronger offshore winds or clear-sky amplification that could push readings into the upper 70s or low 80s. Updated forecast discussions and final station observations tomorrow will determine exact resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,258Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and GFS model guidance positions a high near 76–78°F as the most probable outcome for Los Angeles on September 18, aligning with the market’s leading 76–77°F bin at 55.5% implied probability. Coastal marine layer effects and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit daytime heating at official measurement sites such as LAX, keeping values close to the long-term September 18 average high of 76.2°F. Recent model runs show little spread, with minimal risk of stronger offshore winds or clear-sky amplification that could push readings into the upper 70s or low 80s. Updated forecast discussions and final station observations tomorrow will determine exact resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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