Trader consensus remains tightly split between 37°C and 38°C implied probabilities near 36% each due to minor model spread in short-range forecasts for September 18. Numerical weather predictions show highs clustering around these thresholds under mostly sunny conditions, with slight differences arising from wind patterns over the Red Sea and boundary-layer humidity that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1°C. Recent observations from mid-September, including a 41°C spike on the 15th followed by 36–39°C days, underscore day-to-day variability near seasonal norms of 37–38°C. Official monitoring will resolve the market based on the verified daily maximum, with final model runs and local station data providing the last updates before sunset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 18?
38°C 37%
37°C 36%
39°C or higher 15%
36°C 12%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
12%
37°C
36%
38°C
37%
39°C or higher
15%
38°C 37%
37°C 36%
39°C or higher 15%
36°C 12%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
12%
37°C
36%
38°C
37%
39°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus remains tightly split between 37°C and 38°C implied probabilities near 36% each due to minor model spread in short-range forecasts for September 18. Numerical weather predictions show highs clustering around these thresholds under mostly sunny conditions, with slight differences arising from wind patterns over the Red Sea and boundary-layer humidity that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1°C. Recent observations from mid-September, including a 41°C spike on the 15th followed by 36–39°C days, underscore day-to-day variability near seasonal norms of 37–38°C. Official monitoring will resolve the market based on the verified daily maximum, with final model runs and local station data providing the last updates before sunset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp