**Recent official forecasts and observational data position 24°C as the dominant market-implied outcome for Chengdu’s highest temperature on September 18, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and local reports, indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light northeast winds, high humidity (75–85%), and a 30–40% chance of light rain or showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the Sichuan basin’s typical early-autumn pattern of moderated temperatures and suppressed diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing. Model consensus shows no strong warming trend or clear-air subsidence that would push readings to 26°C or higher, while minimums near 19–21°C make sub-23°C highs unlikely. With the market resolution tied to the official daily maximum, traders appear to be weighting live station data and short-range guidance showing peaks clustered around 24°C, producing the heavy concentration of probability at that level and the secondary 25°C outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
24°C 76%
25°C 26%
26°C 5%
27°C 2%
$23,072 KL.
$23,072 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
76%
25°C
26%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 76%
25°C 26%
26°C 5%
27°C 2%
$23,072 KL.
$23,072 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$539 KL.
<1%
21°C
$221 KL.
<1%
22°C
$2,637 KL.
<1%
23°C
$4,146 KL.
<1%
24°C
$3,524 KL.
76%
25°C
$2,241 KL.
26%
26°C
$1,906 KL.
5%
27°C
$5,360 KL.
2%
28°C
$1,446 KL.
<1%
29°C
$696 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$357 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and observational data position 24°C as the dominant market-implied outcome for Chengdu’s highest temperature on September 18, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and local reports, indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light northeast winds, high humidity (75–85%), and a 30–40% chance of light rain or showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the Sichuan basin’s typical early-autumn pattern of moderated temperatures and suppressed diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing.
Model consensus shows no strong warming trend or clear-air subsidence that would push readings to 26°C or higher, while minimums near 19–21°C make sub-23°C highs unlikely. With the market resolution tied to the official daily maximum, traders appear to be weighting live station data and short-range guidance showing peaks clustered around 24°C, producing the heavy concentration of probability at that level and the secondary 25°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,072Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and observational data position 24°C as the dominant market-implied outcome for Chengdu’s highest temperature on September 18, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and local reports, indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light northeast winds, high humidity (75–85%), and a 30–40% chance of light rain or showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the Sichuan basin’s typical early-autumn pattern of moderated temperatures and suppressed diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing.
Model consensus shows no strong warming trend or clear-air subsidence that would push readings to 26°C or higher, while minimums near 19–21°C make sub-23°C highs unlikely. With the market resolution tied to the official daily maximum, traders appear to be weighting live station data and short-range guidance showing peaks clustered around 24°C, producing the heavy concentration of probability at that level and the secondary 25°C outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$23,072Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts and observational data position 24°C as the dominant market-implied outcome for Chengdu’s highest temperature on September 18, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and local reports, indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light northeast winds, high humidity (75–85%), and a 30–40% chance of light rain or showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the Sichuan basin’s typical early-autumn pattern of moderated temperatures and suppressed diurnal range due to persistent cloud cover and weak synoptic forcing. Model consensus shows no strong warming trend or clear-air subsidence that would push readings to 26°C or higher, while minimums near 19–21°C make sub-23°C highs unlikely. With the market resolution tied to the official daily maximum, traders appear to be weighting live station data and short-range guidance showing peaks clustered around 24°C, producing the heavy concentration of probability at that level and the secondary 25°C outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp