Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus positions 19°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 20°C as a plausible upside scenario at 27%. Stable high pressure and typical September Atlantic flow limit warming potential, consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the date, while minor model spread in cloud cover or wind timing accounts for the remaining probability distribution across 17–21°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 20?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 20?
19°C 55%
20°C 27%
18°C 19%
17°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
11%
18°C
15%
19°C
55%
20°C
27%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 55%
20°C 27%
18°C 19%
17°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
14°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
15°C
$0 KL.
2%
16°C
$0 KL.
4%
17°C
$8 KL.
11%
18°C
$6 KL.
15%
19°C
$36 KL.
55%
20°C
$4 KL.
27%
21°C
$0 KL.
10%
22°C
$0 KL.
2%
23°C
$0 KL.
1%
24°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus positions 19°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 20°C as a plausible upside scenario at 27%. Stable high pressure and typical September Atlantic flow limit warming potential, consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the date, while minor model spread in cloud cover or wind timing accounts for the remaining probability distribution across 17–21°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$54Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus positions 19°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 20°C as a plausible upside scenario at 27%. Stable high pressure and typical September Atlantic flow limit warming potential, consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the date, while minor model spread in cloud cover or wind timing accounts for the remaining probability distribution across 17–21°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$54Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus positions 19°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 20°C as a plausible upside scenario at 27%. Stable high pressure and typical September Atlantic flow limit warming potential, consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the date, while minor model spread in cloud cover or wind timing accounts for the remaining probability distribution across 17–21°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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