Forecast models and observational data point to a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover expected to allow strong daytime solar heating in Shenzhen on September 18. Current guidance from multiple sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 32°C and 34°C, consistent with September climatology near 31°C, though slight differences in model timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes. High humidity near 70-80% will moderate the felt temperature but has minimal direct impact on the dry-bulb maximum. Traders are weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF runs alongside official CMA station criteria, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at authorized Shenzhen observing sites.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
33°C 35%
32°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C 16%
MỚI
$13,727 KL.
MỚI
$13,727 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
17%
32°C
32%
33°C
35%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C 16%
MỚI
$13,727 KL.
MỚI
$13,727 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
$199 KL.
<1%
29°C
$336 KL.
<1%
30°C
$665 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,828 KL.
17%
32°C
$1,359 KL.
32%
33°C
$3,891 KL.
35%
34°C
$2,936 KL.
16%
35°C
$969 KL.
3%
36°C
$817 KL.
2%
37°C
$600 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$127 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data point to a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover expected to allow strong daytime solar heating in Shenzhen on September 18. Current guidance from multiple sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 32°C and 34°C, consistent with September climatology near 31°C, though slight differences in model timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes. High humidity near 70-80% will moderate the felt temperature but has minimal direct impact on the dry-bulb maximum. Traders are weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF runs alongside official CMA station criteria, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at authorized Shenzhen observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,727Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data point to a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover expected to allow strong daytime solar heating in Shenzhen on September 18. Current guidance from multiple sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 32°C and 34°C, consistent with September climatology near 31°C, though slight differences in model timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes. High humidity near 70-80% will moderate the felt temperature but has minimal direct impact on the dry-bulb maximum. Traders are weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF runs alongside official CMA station criteria, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at authorized Shenzhen observing sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$13,727Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data point to a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern over southern China, with light easterly winds and limited cloud cover expected to allow strong daytime solar heating in Shenzhen on September 18. Current guidance from multiple sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 32°C and 34°C, consistent with September climatology near 31°C, though slight differences in model timing of any afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes. High humidity near 70-80% will moderate the felt temperature but has minimal direct impact on the dry-bulb maximum. Traders are weighting the most recent GFS and ECMWF runs alongside official CMA station criteria, with resolution hinging on the precise peak recorded at authorized Shenzhen observing sites.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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