**Stable subtropical conditions position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Shenzhen’s overnight low on September 18.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on a minimum near 25–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling in the region. Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 25–26°C amid weak pressure gradients and no active fronts or tropical systems nearby. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C carrying the highest probability while tails such as 21°C or below or 31°C+ remain low-probability outliers absent major model shifts. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 12–24 hours will be the primary near-term driver of any probability adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
25°C 62%
21°C or below 43%
31°C or higher 43%
23°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
43%
22°C
38%
23°C
39%
24°C
38%
25°C
62%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C
38%
30°C
38%
31°C or higher
43%
25°C 62%
21°C or below 43%
31°C or higher 43%
23°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
43%
22°C
$0 KL.
38%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
38%
25°C
$119 KL.
62%
26°C
$0 KL.
22%
27°C
$0 KL.
22%
28°C
$0 KL.
8%
29°C
$0 KL.
38%
30°C
$0 KL.
38%
31°C or higher
$0 KL.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable subtropical conditions position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Shenzhen’s overnight low on September 18.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on a minimum near 25–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling in the region. Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 25–26°C amid weak pressure gradients and no active fronts or tropical systems nearby. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C carrying the highest probability while tails such as 21°C or below or 31°C+ remain low-probability outliers absent major model shifts. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 12–24 hours will be the primary near-term driver of any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$119Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable subtropical conditions position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Shenzhen’s overnight low on September 18.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on a minimum near 25–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling in the region. Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 25–26°C amid weak pressure gradients and no active fronts or tropical systems nearby. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C carrying the highest probability while tails such as 21°C or below or 31°C+ remain low-probability outliers absent major model shifts. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 12–24 hours will be the primary near-term driver of any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$119Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Stable subtropical conditions position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Shenzhen’s overnight low on September 18.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on a minimum near 25–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling in the region. Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 25–26°C amid weak pressure gradients and no active fronts or tropical systems nearby. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C carrying the highest probability while tails such as 21°C or below or 31°C+ remain low-probability outliers absent major model shifts. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 12–24 hours will be the primary near-term driver of any probability adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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