**Recent weather model consensus for Wuhan on September 20, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (≈28 °C / 83 °F), LUFT TIME (30.9 °C), and others ranging 28–32 °C, reflect typical late-September subtropical conditions in central China as the East Asian monsoon weakens. Low precipitation probabilities (often <20 %) and moderate humidity (55–70 %) support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture suppression. **Scientific drivers include the region’s climatological diurnal range of roughly 8–10 °C, with overnight lows near 22–24 °C, combined with weak steering patterns that limit rapid advection of cooler air.** No strong frontal passages or tropical systems are indicated in current guidance, keeping the temperature distribution tightly clustered. Trader-implied probabilities (29 °C at 35.5 %, 28 °C at 24.5 %, 30 °C at 21.5 %) closely track this ensemble spread, with lower odds for 31 °C+ reflecting the modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations. **Model updates over the past 24–48 hours have remained stable, with only minor adjustments in peak timing or cloud timing.** The market’s concentration around 28–30 °C therefore mirrors the narrow uncertainty band typical for a 24-hour forecast in this season, while the tail probabilities capture residual risks from localized variability or slight model divergence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
29°C 36%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
27°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
22%
29°C
36%
30°C
26%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
27°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
$400 KL.
1%
26°C
$458 KL.
2%
27°C
$2,091 KL.
12%
28°C
$638 KL.
22%
29°C
$507 KL.
36%
30°C
$607 KL.
26%
31°C
$185 KL.
7%
32°C
$162 KL.
1%
33°C
$155 KL.
<1%
34°C
$407 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,053 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent weather model consensus for Wuhan on September 20, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (≈28 °C / 83 °F), LUFT TIME (30.9 °C), and others ranging 28–32 °C, reflect typical late-September subtropical conditions in central China as the East Asian monsoon weakens. Low precipitation probabilities (often <20 %) and moderate humidity (55–70 %) support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture suppression.
**Scientific drivers include the region’s climatological diurnal range of roughly 8–10 °C, with overnight lows near 22–24 °C, combined with weak steering patterns that limit rapid advection of cooler air.** No strong frontal passages or tropical systems are indicated in current guidance, keeping the temperature distribution tightly clustered. Trader-implied probabilities (29 °C at 35.5 %, 28 °C at 24.5 %, 30 °C at 21.5 %) closely track this ensemble spread, with lower odds for 31 °C+ reflecting the modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations.
**Model updates over the past 24–48 hours have remained stable, with only minor adjustments in peak timing or cloud timing.** The market’s concentration around 28–30 °C therefore mirrors the narrow uncertainty band typical for a 24-hour forecast in this season, while the tail probabilities capture residual risks from localized variability or slight model divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,509Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent weather model consensus for Wuhan on September 20, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (≈28 °C / 83 °F), LUFT TIME (30.9 °C), and others ranging 28–32 °C, reflect typical late-September subtropical conditions in central China as the East Asian monsoon weakens. Low precipitation probabilities (often <20 %) and moderate humidity (55–70 %) support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture suppression.
**Scientific drivers include the region’s climatological diurnal range of roughly 8–10 °C, with overnight lows near 22–24 °C, combined with weak steering patterns that limit rapid advection of cooler air.** No strong frontal passages or tropical systems are indicated in current guidance, keeping the temperature distribution tightly clustered. Trader-implied probabilities (29 °C at 35.5 %, 28 °C at 24.5 %, 30 °C at 21.5 %) closely track this ensemble spread, with lower odds for 31 °C+ reflecting the modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations.
**Model updates over the past 24–48 hours have remained stable, with only minor adjustments in peak timing or cloud timing.** The market’s concentration around 28–30 °C therefore mirrors the narrow uncertainty band typical for a 24-hour forecast in this season, while the tail probabilities capture residual risks from localized variability or slight model divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,509Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent weather model consensus for Wuhan on September 20, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (≈28 °C / 83 °F), LUFT TIME (30.9 °C), and others ranging 28–32 °C, reflect typical late-September subtropical conditions in central China as the East Asian monsoon weakens. Low precipitation probabilities (often <20 %) and moderate humidity (55–70 %) support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or moisture suppression. **Scientific drivers include the region’s climatological diurnal range of roughly 8–10 °C, with overnight lows near 22–24 °C, combined with weak steering patterns that limit rapid advection of cooler air.** No strong frontal passages or tropical systems are indicated in current guidance, keeping the temperature distribution tightly clustered. Trader-implied probabilities (29 °C at 35.5 %, 28 °C at 24.5 %, 30 °C at 21.5 %) closely track this ensemble spread, with lower odds for 31 °C+ reflecting the modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations. **Model updates over the past 24–48 hours have remained stable, with only minor adjustments in peak timing or cloud timing.** The market’s concentration around 28–30 °C therefore mirrors the narrow uncertainty band typical for a 24-hour forecast in this season, while the tail probabilities capture residual risks from localized variability or slight model divergence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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