Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a cloudy, rainy pattern for Tokyo on September 19, with northerly winds and widespread cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered around 24–26°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent overcast skies and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation, while the cool advection suppresses peaks relative to the late-September climatological average near 26–27°C. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread due to timing of rain bands and exact wind strength, keeping the 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C bins nearly equiprobable ahead of final model runs and observational updates on the 18th.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 19?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 19?
25°C 31%
24°C 28%
26°C 23%
23°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
22%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
23%
27°C
6%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
2%
25°C 31%
24°C 28%
26°C 23%
23°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
$494 KL.
1%
21°C
$0 KL.
3%
22°C
$0 KL.
6%
23°C
$131 KL.
22%
24°C
$17 KL.
28%
25°C
$3 KL.
27%
26°C
$25 KL.
23%
27°C
$9 KL.
6%
28°C
$0 KL.
6%
29°C
$0 KL.
4%
30°C or higher
$210 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a cloudy, rainy pattern for Tokyo on September 19, with northerly winds and widespread cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered around 24–26°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent overcast skies and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation, while the cool advection suppresses peaks relative to the late-September climatological average near 26–27°C. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread due to timing of rain bands and exact wind strength, keeping the 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C bins nearly equiprobable ahead of final model runs and observational updates on the 18th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$890Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a cloudy, rainy pattern for Tokyo on September 19, with northerly winds and widespread cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered around 24–26°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent overcast skies and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation, while the cool advection suppresses peaks relative to the late-September climatological average near 26–27°C. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread due to timing of rain bands and exact wind strength, keeping the 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C bins nearly equiprobable ahead of final model runs and observational updates on the 18th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$890Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a cloudy, rainy pattern for Tokyo on September 19, with northerly winds and widespread cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This setup favors maximum temperatures clustered around 24–26°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Persistent overcast skies and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation, while the cool advection suppresses peaks relative to the late-September climatological average near 26–27°C. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread due to timing of rain bands and exact wind strength, keeping the 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C bins nearly equiprobable ahead of final model runs and observational updates on the 18th.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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