Recent forecasts from Guangdong meteorological sources and international models point to a peak temperature of 35–36°C in Guangzhou on September 21, driven by daytime heating under partly cloudy skies before scattered thunderstorms develop. High humidity and expected rainfall timing—often peaking in the afternoon—limit further warming by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while light southerly winds offer minimal advection support. This aligns with late-September climatology where urban heat island effects can push maxima above the 31–32°C average, yet persistent moisture from regional monsoon influences keeps 37°C+ less probable. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against potential shifts in storm onset or cloud persistence ahead of official observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
36°C 36%
35°C 32%
34°C 15%
37°C or higher 14%
$13,051 KL.
$13,051 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
15%
35°C
32%
36°C
36%
37°C or higher
14%
36°C 36%
35°C 32%
34°C 15%
37°C or higher 14%
$13,051 KL.
$13,051 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
15%
35°C
32%
36°C
36%
37°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Guangdong meteorological sources and international models point to a peak temperature of 35–36°C in Guangzhou on September 21, driven by daytime heating under partly cloudy skies before scattered thunderstorms develop. High humidity and expected rainfall timing—often peaking in the afternoon—limit further warming by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while light southerly winds offer minimal advection support. This aligns with late-September climatology where urban heat island effects can push maxima above the 31–32°C average, yet persistent moisture from regional monsoon influences keeps 37°C+ less probable. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against potential shifts in storm onset or cloud persistence ahead of official observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp