Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 22?
2°C or below 86%
12°C or higher 84%
3°C 38%
4°C 38%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
2°C or below
86%
3°C
38%
4°C
38%
5°C
21%
6°C
21%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
21%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C or higher
84%
2°C or below 86%
12°C or higher 84%
3°C 38%
4°C 38%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
2°C or below
$10 KL.
86%
3°C
$10 KL.
38%
4°C
$10 KL.
38%
5°C
$0 KL.
21%
6°C
$0 KL.
21%
7°C
$0 KL.
22%
8°C
$0 KL.
22%
9°C
$0 KL.
21%
10°C
$0 KL.
20%
11°C
$0 KL.
20%
12°C or higher
$10 KL.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$40Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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