Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other guidance converge on a Dallas high near 92–94°F for September 21, with 30–50% afternoon thunderstorm chances tied to humid air and modest instability. This keeps the 94–95°F bin narrowly ahead in trader pricing, while the tight spread across 92–93°F and 96–97°F bins reflects uncertainty over exact peak timing, cloud cover from developing convection, and whether storms arrive early enough to limit insolation. Light easterly winds shifting northerly may enhance mixing but also support scattered afternoon activity that historically trims daily maxima by 1–3°F in similar late-summer setups. Official observations from DFW or Love Field stations will settle the outcome, with final model runs and short-term guidance expected overnight providing the last updates before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on September 21?
94-95°F 34%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 24%
90-91°F 9%
$10,241 KL.
$10,241 KL.
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
8%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 34%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 24%
90-91°F 9%
$10,241 KL.
$10,241 KL.
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
8%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other guidance converge on a Dallas high near 92–94°F for September 21, with 30–50% afternoon thunderstorm chances tied to humid air and modest instability. This keeps the 94–95°F bin narrowly ahead in trader pricing, while the tight spread across 92–93°F and 96–97°F bins reflects uncertainty over exact peak timing, cloud cover from developing convection, and whether storms arrive early enough to limit insolation. Light easterly winds shifting northerly may enhance mixing but also support scattered afternoon activity that historically trims daily maxima by 1–3°F in similar late-summer setups. Official observations from DFW or Love Field stations will settle the outcome, with final model runs and short-term guidance expected overnight providing the last updates before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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