Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 101°F in Dallas on September 12 under sunny skies, light south winds, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices to 105–108°F. This positions the 100–101°F bin as the clear leader at 54% implied probability, with the adjacent 102–103°F range holding secondary support if afternoon readings edge higher. The outcome sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of 90.6°F for the date, reflecting a persistent warm, dry pattern with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Updated model runs show tight clustering around these values, though minor steering or boundary-layer moisture shifts could still nudge the final observed maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on September 12?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 12?
100-101°F 57%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 15%
96-97°F 5%
$24,644 KL.
$24,644 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
57%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 57%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 15%
96-97°F 5%
$24,644 KL.
$24,644 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
89°F or below
$453 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$886 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$767 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$635 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,227 KL.
5%
98-99°F
$5,357 KL.
15%
100-101°F
$6,890 KL.
57%
102-103°F
$3,718 KL.
19%
104-105°F
$1,869 KL.
5%
106-107°F
$1,531 KL.
2%
108°F or higher
$1,310 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 101°F in Dallas on September 12 under sunny skies, light south winds, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices to 105–108°F. This positions the 100–101°F bin as the clear leader at 54% implied probability, with the adjacent 102–103°F range holding secondary support if afternoon readings edge higher. The outcome sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of 90.6°F for the date, reflecting a persistent warm, dry pattern with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Updated model runs show tight clustering around these values, though minor steering or boundary-layer moisture shifts could still nudge the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,644Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 101°F in Dallas on September 12 under sunny skies, light south winds, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices to 105–108°F. This positions the 100–101°F bin as the clear leader at 54% implied probability, with the adjacent 102–103°F range holding secondary support if afternoon readings edge higher. The outcome sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of 90.6°F for the date, reflecting a persistent warm, dry pattern with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Updated model runs show tight clustering around these values, though minor steering or boundary-layer moisture shifts could still nudge the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$24,644Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 101°F in Dallas on September 12 under sunny skies, light south winds, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices to 105–108°F. This positions the 100–101°F bin as the clear leader at 54% implied probability, with the adjacent 102–103°F range holding secondary support if afternoon readings edge higher. The outcome sits well above the 1991–2020 average high of 90.6°F for the date, reflecting a persistent warm, dry pattern with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk. Updated model runs show tight clustering around these values, though minor steering or boundary-layer moisture shifts could still nudge the final observed maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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