Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 100–102°F for Austin on September 12, driven by persistent southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and a strong surface high that has kept central Texas under hot, dry conditions for several days. Recent observations show afternoon readings already reaching the upper 90s to near 100°F, with heat indices above 105°F, aligning with the late-summer climatology where such temperatures occur several times per September. The market’s heavy weighting toward the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins reflects this tight model consensus and low precipitation probability, though minor shifts in timing or boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the official reading one degree in either direction before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on September 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 12?
100-101°F 61%
102-103°F 35%
98-99°F 4%
104-105°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
61%
102-103°F
35%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 61%
102-103°F 35%
98-99°F 4%
104-105°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
91°F or below
$330 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$203 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$566 KL.
1%
96-97°F
$84 KL.
1%
98-99°F
$301 KL.
4%
100-101°F
$1,961 KL.
61%
102-103°F
$1,081 KL.
35%
104-105°F
$131 KL.
3%
106-107°F
$130 KL.
2%
108-109°F
$54 KL.
<1%
110°F or higher
$148 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 100–102°F for Austin on September 12, driven by persistent southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and a strong surface high that has kept central Texas under hot, dry conditions for several days. Recent observations show afternoon readings already reaching the upper 90s to near 100°F, with heat indices above 105°F, aligning with the late-summer climatology where such temperatures occur several times per September. The market’s heavy weighting toward the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins reflects this tight model consensus and low precipitation probability, though minor shifts in timing or boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the official reading one degree in either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,905Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 100–102°F for Austin on September 12, driven by persistent southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and a strong surface high that has kept central Texas under hot, dry conditions for several days. Recent observations show afternoon readings already reaching the upper 90s to near 100°F, with heat indices above 105°F, aligning with the late-summer climatology where such temperatures occur several times per September. The market’s heavy weighting toward the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins reflects this tight model consensus and low precipitation probability, though minor shifts in timing or boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the official reading one degree in either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,905Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 100–102°F for Austin on September 12, driven by persistent southerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and a strong surface high that has kept central Texas under hot, dry conditions for several days. Recent observations show afternoon readings already reaching the upper 90s to near 100°F, with heat indices above 105°F, aligning with the late-summer climatology where such temperatures occur several times per September. The market’s heavy weighting toward the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins reflects this tight model consensus and low precipitation probability, though minor shifts in timing or boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the official reading one degree in either direction before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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