Persistent southerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are keeping the overnight low in Austin near the upper 70s, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts of 77–79 °F. Warm, humid air masses advected from the Gulf have suppressed the typical seasonal drop, with dew points remaining in the mid-70s and minimal frontal activity or clear-sky radiational cooling expected through dawn. Model consensus shows little spread, though minor variations in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two. Traders appear to price in modest uncertainty around official station readings at Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, favoring outcomes near or slightly below recent model guidance while assigning low probability to extremes above 80 °F or below 70 °F given the current synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 12?
69°F or below 93%
72-73°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
74-75°F 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
69°F or below
93%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
69°F or below 93%
72-73°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
74-75°F 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
69°F or below
$0 KL.
93%
70-71°F
$32 KL.
19%
72-73°F
$42 KL.
40%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
22%
76-77°F
$5 KL.
22%
78-79°F
$148 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$142 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$15 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$15 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$15 KL.
<1%
88°F or higher
$45 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are keeping the overnight low in Austin near the upper 70s, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts of 77–79 °F. Warm, humid air masses advected from the Gulf have suppressed the typical seasonal drop, with dew points remaining in the mid-70s and minimal frontal activity or clear-sky radiational cooling expected through dawn. Model consensus shows little spread, though minor variations in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two. Traders appear to price in modest uncertainty around official station readings at Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, favoring outcomes near or slightly below recent model guidance while assigning low probability to extremes above 80 °F or below 70 °F given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$460Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are keeping the overnight low in Austin near the upper 70s, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts of 77–79 °F. Warm, humid air masses advected from the Gulf have suppressed the typical seasonal drop, with dew points remaining in the mid-70s and minimal frontal activity or clear-sky radiational cooling expected through dawn. Model consensus shows little spread, though minor variations in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two. Traders appear to price in modest uncertainty around official station readings at Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, favoring outcomes near or slightly below recent model guidance while assigning low probability to extremes above 80 °F or below 70 °F given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$460Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are keeping the overnight low in Austin near the upper 70s, consistent with National Weather Service forecasts of 77–79 °F. Warm, humid air masses advected from the Gulf have suppressed the typical seasonal drop, with dew points remaining in the mid-70s and minimal frontal activity or clear-sky radiational cooling expected through dawn. Model consensus shows little spread, though minor variations in cloud cover or localized wind shifts could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two. Traders appear to price in modest uncertainty around official station readings at Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry, favoring outcomes near or slightly below recent model guidance while assigning low probability to extremes above 80 °F or below 70 °F given the current synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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