Persistent ridging over the southern Plains has maintained hot, mostly sunny conditions across central Texas, with southerly flow advecting warm, humid air and limiting cloud cover or convective cooling on September 11. Official National Weather Service forecasts and high-resolution model consensus indicate a daily maximum near 100°F at Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, consistent with the 52.5% market-implied probability for 100-101°F; slight afternoon thunderstorm chances (10-20%) introduce minor uncertainty that could shave a degree or two. Historical climatology shows a September 11 average high of 92°F and a record of 102°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth driven by the current synoptic setup. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute model shifts will refine resolution probabilities for the 98-99°F and 102-103°F bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on September 11?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 11?
100-101°F 57%
98-99°F 24%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
MỚI
$10,891 KL.
MỚI
$10,891 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
24%
100-101°F
57%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 57%
98-99°F 24%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 5%
MỚI
$10,891 KL.
MỚI
$10,891 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
87°F or below
$805 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$404 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$328 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$275 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$58 KL.
2%
96-97°F
$700 KL.
5%
98-99°F
$1,389 KL.
24%
100-101°F
$4,178 KL.
57%
102-103°F
$1,268 KL.
16%
104-105°F
$1,372 KL.
1%
106°F or higher
$116 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent ridging over the southern Plains has maintained hot, mostly sunny conditions across central Texas, with southerly flow advecting warm, humid air and limiting cloud cover or convective cooling on September 11. Official National Weather Service forecasts and high-resolution model consensus indicate a daily maximum near 100°F at Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, consistent with the 52.5% market-implied probability for 100-101°F; slight afternoon thunderstorm chances (10-20%) introduce minor uncertainty that could shave a degree or two. Historical climatology shows a September 11 average high of 92°F and a record of 102°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth driven by the current synoptic setup. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute model shifts will refine resolution probabilities for the 98-99°F and 102-103°F bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,891Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent ridging over the southern Plains has maintained hot, mostly sunny conditions across central Texas, with southerly flow advecting warm, humid air and limiting cloud cover or convective cooling on September 11. Official National Weather Service forecasts and high-resolution model consensus indicate a daily maximum near 100°F at Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, consistent with the 52.5% market-implied probability for 100-101°F; slight afternoon thunderstorm chances (10-20%) introduce minor uncertainty that could shave a degree or two. Historical climatology shows a September 11 average high of 92°F and a record of 102°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth driven by the current synoptic setup. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute model shifts will refine resolution probabilities for the 98-99°F and 102-103°F bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,891Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent ridging over the southern Plains has maintained hot, mostly sunny conditions across central Texas, with southerly flow advecting warm, humid air and limiting cloud cover or convective cooling on September 11. Official National Weather Service forecasts and high-resolution model consensus indicate a daily maximum near 100°F at Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, consistent with the 52.5% market-implied probability for 100-101°F; slight afternoon thunderstorm chances (10-20%) introduce minor uncertainty that could shave a degree or two. Historical climatology shows a September 11 average high of 92°F and a record of 102°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth driven by the current synoptic setup. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute model shifts will refine resolution probabilities for the 98-99°F and 102-103°F bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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