Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a September 13 maximum temperature in Chongqing likely between 24–28°C, with most runs centering near 26–27°C amid increasing cloud cover and a 25–35% chance of light precipitation. This distribution of model outputs, combined with variable steering flows and regional humidity levels near 60–80%, drives the market's spread across 25–27°C outcomes while capping probabilities for 28°C or higher. Recent observations show surface temperatures moderating from prior days' peaks, consistent with seasonal transition patterns, though short-term model disagreements on exact cloud timing sustain the observed uncertainty ahead of additional 00Z and 12Z runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 13?
26°C 29%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C or below 18%
24°C or below
18%
25°C
24%
26°C
29%
27°C
20%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
26°C 29%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C or below 18%
24°C or below
18%
25°C
24%
26°C
29%
27°C
20%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a September 13 maximum temperature in Chongqing likely between 24–28°C, with most runs centering near 26–27°C amid increasing cloud cover and a 25–35% chance of light precipitation. This distribution of model outputs, combined with variable steering flows and regional humidity levels near 60–80%, drives the market's spread across 25–27°C outcomes while capping probabilities for 28°C or higher. Recent observations show surface temperatures moderating from prior days' peaks, consistent with seasonal transition patterns, though short-term model disagreements on exact cloud timing sustain the observed uncertainty ahead of additional 00Z and 12Z runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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