National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 75°F for Chicago on September 10, driven by a cooler air mass advected by northerly winds following midweek showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors clearing skies and modest daytime heating, with surface temperatures peaking in the mid to upper 70s under partly to mostly sunny conditions. The market's tight clustering around 76–79°F reflects this consensus while accounting for minor uncertainties in exact maximum timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 78°F, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes above 80°F or below 74°F absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on September 10?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 10?
78-79°F 38%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
3%
88°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 38%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
69°F or below
$21 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$21 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
8%
74-75°F
$8 KL.
13%
76-77°F
$181 KL.
35%
78-79°F
$186 KL.
38%
80-81°F
$81 KL.
12%
82-83°F
$46 KL.
4%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
7%
86-87°F
$0 KL.
3%
88°F or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 75°F for Chicago on September 10, driven by a cooler air mass advected by northerly winds following midweek showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors clearing skies and modest daytime heating, with surface temperatures peaking in the mid to upper 70s under partly to mostly sunny conditions. The market's tight clustering around 76–79°F reflects this consensus while accounting for minor uncertainties in exact maximum timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 78°F, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes above 80°F or below 74°F absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$546Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 75°F for Chicago on September 10, driven by a cooler air mass advected by northerly winds following midweek showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors clearing skies and modest daytime heating, with surface temperatures peaking in the mid to upper 70s under partly to mostly sunny conditions. The market's tight clustering around 76–79°F reflects this consensus while accounting for minor uncertainties in exact maximum timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 78°F, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes above 80°F or below 74°F absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$546Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 75°F for Chicago on September 10, driven by a cooler air mass advected by northerly winds following midweek showers and thunderstorms. This setup favors clearing skies and modest daytime heating, with surface temperatures peaking in the mid to upper 70s under partly to mostly sunny conditions. The market's tight clustering around 76–79°F reflects this consensus while accounting for minor uncertainties in exact maximum timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 78°F, providing context for why traders assign low probability to extremes above 80°F or below 74°F absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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