Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 19–20°C in London today under sunny intervals that turn partly cloudy, with light northwesterly winds diminishing through the afternoon and minimal shower risk. Early September climatology supports highs in this range, with typical daytime maxima near 18–20°C absent strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model consensus has remained steady, showing no significant shifts from high-pressure dominance or frontal passages that would elevate temperatures toward 21°C or suppress them below 19°C. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, assigning over 93% combined probability to 19–20°C while discounting outliers given the limited uncertainty in current observational trends and short-term steering patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on September 9?
Highest temperature in London on September 9?
19°C 53%
20°C 43%
21°C 4%
18°C 3%
$51,879 KL.
$51,879 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
53%
20°C
43%
21°C
4%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 53%
20°C 43%
21°C 4%
18°C 3%
$51,879 KL.
$51,879 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
15°C or below
$2,000 KL.
<1%
16°C
$396 KL.
<1%
17°C
$1,366 KL.
<1%
18°C
$7,460 KL.
3%
19°C
$11,374 KL.
53%
20°C
$12,846 KL.
43%
21°C
$8,328 KL.
4%
22°C
$4,903 KL.
<1%
23°C
$1,685 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,227 KL.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,892 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 19–20°C in London today under sunny intervals that turn partly cloudy, with light northwesterly winds diminishing through the afternoon and minimal shower risk. Early September climatology supports highs in this range, with typical daytime maxima near 18–20°C absent strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model consensus has remained steady, showing no significant shifts from high-pressure dominance or frontal passages that would elevate temperatures toward 21°C or suppress them below 19°C. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, assigning over 93% combined probability to 19–20°C while discounting outliers given the limited uncertainty in current observational trends and short-term steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$51,879Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 19–20°C in London today under sunny intervals that turn partly cloudy, with light northwesterly winds diminishing through the afternoon and minimal shower risk. Early September climatology supports highs in this range, with typical daytime maxima near 18–20°C absent strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model consensus has remained steady, showing no significant shifts from high-pressure dominance or frontal passages that would elevate temperatures toward 21°C or suppress them below 19°C. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, assigning over 93% combined probability to 19–20°C while discounting outliers given the limited uncertainty in current observational trends and short-term steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$51,879Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a maximum of 19–20°C in London today under sunny intervals that turn partly cloudy, with light northwesterly winds diminishing through the afternoon and minimal shower risk. Early September climatology supports highs in this range, with typical daytime maxima near 18–20°C absent strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Recent model consensus has remained steady, showing no significant shifts from high-pressure dominance or frontal passages that would elevate temperatures toward 21°C or suppress them below 19°C. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, assigning over 93% combined probability to 19–20°C while discounting outliers given the limited uncertainty in current observational trends and short-term steering patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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