Current model consensus from sources like GFS points to a maximum near 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 9, with scattered showers, westerly winds of 15–17 mph, and limited afternoon sunshine keeping readings from climbing higher. This setup explains the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, as small shifts in shower timing or cloud cover could tip the peak either way. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, but the incoming cooler maritime air mass aligns with typical early-September variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the National Weather Service equivalents will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 9?
19°C 48%
18°C 45%
17°C 5%
20°C 3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
45%
19°C
48%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 48%
18°C 45%
17°C 5%
20°C 3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
45%
19°C
48%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources like GFS points to a maximum near 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 9, with scattered showers, westerly winds of 15–17 mph, and limited afternoon sunshine keeping readings from climbing higher. This setup explains the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, as small shifts in shower timing or cloud cover could tip the peak either way. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, but the incoming cooler maritime air mass aligns with typical early-September variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the National Weather Service equivalents will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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