Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a shift to unsettled conditions on September 8, with a deepening low-pressure system driving southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and periods of rain that will suppress daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 7th. This setup limits solar insolation and caps maximum temperatures near the 20°C September climatological average at Schiphol, with most guidance converging on 18–20°C. The tight market spread between 19°C and 20°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, both of which can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
20°C 48%
19°C 41%
18°C 9%
21°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
15°C or below
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
41%
20°C
48%
21°C
8%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 48%
19°C 41%
18°C 9%
21°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
15°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
16°C
$0 KL.
5%
17°C
$0 KL.
5%
18°C
$68 KL.
9%
19°C
$263 KL.
41%
20°C
$136 KL.
48%
21°C
$95 KL.
8%
22°C
$44 KL.
4%
23°C
$0 KL.
3%
24°C
$29 KL.
1%
25°C or higher
$29 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a shift to unsettled conditions on September 8, with a deepening low-pressure system driving southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and periods of rain that will suppress daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 7th. This setup limits solar insolation and caps maximum temperatures near the 20°C September climatological average at Schiphol, with most guidance converging on 18–20°C. The tight market spread between 19°C and 20°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, both of which can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$664Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a shift to unsettled conditions on September 8, with a deepening low-pressure system driving southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and periods of rain that will suppress daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 7th. This setup limits solar insolation and caps maximum temperatures near the 20°C September climatological average at Schiphol, with most guidance converging on 18–20°C. The tight market spread between 19°C and 20°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, both of which can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$664Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a shift to unsettled conditions on September 8, with a deepening low-pressure system driving southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and periods of rain that will suppress daytime heating after warmer conditions on the 7th. This setup limits solar insolation and caps maximum temperatures near the 20°C September climatological average at Schiphol, with most guidance converging on 18–20°C. The tight market spread between 19°C and 20°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, both of which can alter the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp