Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to a September 8 minimum in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and dry air following a weak frontal passage. This setup favors efficient nighttime radiational cooling under high pressure, consistent with climatological norms of a 64°F average low. Trader positioning across the 64–67°F and 74°F+ brackets reflects uncertainty in short-term cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing, with potential for slight warming if onshore flow develops. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of the observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on September 8?
62-63°F 45%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 17%
55°F or below
11%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
45%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
8%
74°F or higher
11%
62-63°F 45%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 17%
55°F or below
11%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
45%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
8%
74°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to a September 8 minimum in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and dry air following a weak frontal passage. This setup favors efficient nighttime radiational cooling under high pressure, consistent with climatological norms of a 64°F average low. Trader positioning across the 64–67°F and 74°F+ brackets reflects uncertainty in short-term cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing, with potential for slight warming if onshore flow develops. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of the observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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