Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on September 6, driven by northeast flow under partly cloudy to clearing skies behind a weak frontal passage. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the 1991–2020 average low sits near 64.5 °F, and supports the market’s heaviest positioning on 66–67 °F followed by 64–65 °F. Limited moisture and modest winds should prevent significant radiative cooling or warming, keeping the lowest temperature within a narrow range. Updated model guidance and official NHC/NOAA briefings through the evening of September 5 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on September 6?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 6?
66-67°F 49%
64-65°F 29%
62-63°F 20%
68-69°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 49%
64-65°F 29%
62-63°F 20%
68-69°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
57°F or below
$0 KL.
1%
58-59°F
$9 KL.
1%
60-61°F
$0 KL.
8%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
20%
64-65°F
$97 KL.
29%
66-67°F
$41 KL.
49%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
12%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
8%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
5%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
1%
76°F or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on September 6, driven by northeast flow under partly cloudy to clearing skies behind a weak frontal passage. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the 1991–2020 average low sits near 64.5 °F, and supports the market’s heaviest positioning on 66–67 °F followed by 64–65 °F. Limited moisture and modest winds should prevent significant radiative cooling or warming, keeping the lowest temperature within a narrow range. Updated model guidance and official NHC/NOAA briefings through the evening of September 5 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$148Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on September 6, driven by northeast flow under partly cloudy to clearing skies behind a weak frontal passage. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the 1991–2020 average low sits near 64.5 °F, and supports the market’s heaviest positioning on 66–67 °F followed by 64–65 °F. Limited moisture and modest winds should prevent significant radiative cooling or warming, keeping the lowest temperature within a narrow range. Updated model guidance and official NHC/NOAA briefings through the evening of September 5 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$148Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on September 6, driven by northeast flow under partly cloudy to clearing skies behind a weak frontal passage. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, where the 1991–2020 average low sits near 64.5 °F, and supports the market’s heaviest positioning on 66–67 °F followed by 64–65 °F. Limited moisture and modest winds should prevent significant radiative cooling or warming, keeping the lowest temperature within a narrow range. Updated model guidance and official NHC/NOAA briefings through the evening of September 5 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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