Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models show a synoptic shift on September 7, with northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and light rain moderating Beijing’s daytime maximum from recent 31–34°C readings. This pattern favors a peak near 28–30°C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes and the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.9°C. Key variables include exact rain timing, which can enhance evaporative cooling, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture; later updates from the National Meteorological Center will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on September 7?
29°C 22%
28°C 18%
30°C 17%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
18%
29°C
22%
30°C
17%
31°C
9%
32°C
6%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
29°C 22%
28°C 18%
30°C 17%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
18%
29°C
22%
30°C
17%
31°C
9%
32°C
6%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models show a synoptic shift on September 7, with northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and light rain moderating Beijing’s daytime maximum from recent 31–34°C readings. This pattern favors a peak near 28–30°C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes and the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.9°C. Key variables include exact rain timing, which can enhance evaporative cooling, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture; later updates from the National Meteorological Center will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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