Forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe through September 6, favoring mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that supports maximum temperatures near Munich's 21.2°C climatological average. Ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, producing the tight 21–25°C cluster where each 1°C increment equates to roughly comparable implied probabilities. Warmer outcomes hinge on sustained clear conditions and downslope warming from the Alps, while cooler realizations would require increased low-level moisture or earlier frontal approach—factors that updated runs on September 5–6 will clarify as resolution approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on September 6?
24°C 50%
23°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C 20%
18°C or below
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
50%
25°C
49%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
6%
24°C 50%
23°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C 20%
18°C or below
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
50%
25°C
49%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe through September 6, favoring mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that supports maximum temperatures near Munich's 21.2°C climatological average. Ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, producing the tight 21–25°C cluster where each 1°C increment equates to roughly comparable implied probabilities. Warmer outcomes hinge on sustained clear conditions and downslope warming from the Alps, while cooler realizations would require increased low-level moisture or earlier frontal approach—factors that updated runs on September 5–6 will clarify as resolution approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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