Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Paris will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 4 with light to moderate westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting afternoon maximum temperatures of 28–30 °C. These values sit 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~23 °C for the date, driven by warm-air advection under a stable high-pressure pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with peak heating expected mid-afternoon before any evening cooling. Trader positioning, favoring 28–29 °C at combined implied probabilities exceeding 70 %, aligns closely with this model consensus while reflecting residual uncertainty from possible minor cloud cover or slight wind shifts that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on September 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 4?
29°C 43%
28°C 30%
26°C 17%
30°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
13%
28°C
30%
29°C
43%
30°C
15%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
3%
29°C 43%
28°C 30%
26°C 17%
30°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
25°C
$0 KL.
4%
26°C
$0 KL.
17%
27°C
$0 KL.
13%
28°C
$0 KL.
30%
29°C
$20 KL.
43%
30°C
$0 KL.
15%
31°C
$0 KL.
6%
32°C
$29 KL.
3%
33°C
$0 KL.
5%
34°C or higher
$0 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Paris will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 4 with light to moderate westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting afternoon maximum temperatures of 28–30 °C. These values sit 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~23 °C for the date, driven by warm-air advection under a stable high-pressure pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with peak heating expected mid-afternoon before any evening cooling. Trader positioning, favoring 28–29 °C at combined implied probabilities exceeding 70 %, aligns closely with this model consensus while reflecting residual uncertainty from possible minor cloud cover or slight wind shifts that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$49Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Paris will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 4 with light to moderate westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting afternoon maximum temperatures of 28–30 °C. These values sit 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~23 °C for the date, driven by warm-air advection under a stable high-pressure pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with peak heating expected mid-afternoon before any evening cooling. Trader positioning, favoring 28–29 °C at combined implied probabilities exceeding 70 %, aligns closely with this model consensus while reflecting residual uncertainty from possible minor cloud cover or slight wind shifts that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$49Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Paris will experience mostly clear to partly cloudy skies on September 4 with light to moderate westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting afternoon maximum temperatures of 28–30 °C. These values sit 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of ~23 °C for the date, driven by warm-air advection under a stable high-pressure pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with peak heating expected mid-afternoon before any evening cooling. Trader positioning, favoring 28–29 °C at combined implied probabilities exceeding 70 %, aligns closely with this model consensus while reflecting residual uncertainty from possible minor cloud cover or slight wind shifts that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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