Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 26–30°C for September 1, driven by the remnants of tropical cyclone activity interacting with northeast monsoon flow, which sustains cloud cover, scattered squally showers, and thunderstorms that suppress peak solar heating. This setup aligns with the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C, as variable shower timing introduces uncertainty in the precise daily high. Regional models show similar ranges around the early-September climatological average near 30°C, with stronger northerly winds and higher humidity further moderating temperatures. Updated HKO guidance and short-range model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine the expected maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
31°C 16%
28°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
37%
30°C
35%
31°C
16%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
31°C 16%
28°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
37%
30°C
35%
31°C
16%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 26–30°C for September 1, driven by the remnants of tropical cyclone activity interacting with northeast monsoon flow, which sustains cloud cover, scattered squally showers, and thunderstorms that suppress peak solar heating. This setup aligns with the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C, as variable shower timing introduces uncertainty in the precise daily high. Regional models show similar ranges around the early-September climatological average near 30°C, with stronger northerly winds and higher humidity further moderating temperatures. Updated HKO guidance and short-range model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine the expected maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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