**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, PredictWind, and others indicate a minimum temperature near 30–31°C for Jeddah on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 57.5% implied probability.** This reflects Jeddah's typical early-September coastal climate, where the Red Sea moderates extremes through persistent northwest sea breezes, high humidity (often 50–80%), and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical September lows average 27–29°C, but current stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover or precipitation suppress drops below 30°C, reducing odds for outcomes like 24°C or below (50%). Higher thresholds (34°C+) remain improbable without unusual warm advection. Minor model variations in wind speed or dew points create the tight clustering around 29–32°C, with traders weighting official agency consensus and short-term stability ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 2?
24°C or below 86%
34°C or higher 86%
29°C 85%
32°C 84%
24°C or below
86%
25°C
13%
26°C
71%
27°C
16%
28°C
14%
29°C
85%
30°C
57%
31°C
59%
32°C
84%
33°C
71%
34°C or higher
86%
24°C or below 86%
34°C or higher 86%
29°C 85%
32°C 84%
24°C or below
86%
25°C
13%
26°C
71%
27°C
16%
28°C
14%
29°C
85%
30°C
57%
31°C
59%
32°C
84%
33°C
71%
34°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, PredictWind, and others indicate a minimum temperature near 30–31°C for Jeddah on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 57.5% implied probability.** This reflects Jeddah's typical early-September coastal climate, where the Red Sea moderates extremes through persistent northwest sea breezes, high humidity (often 50–80%), and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical September lows average 27–29°C, but current stable high-pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover or precipitation suppress drops below 30°C, reducing odds for outcomes like 24°C or below (50%). Higher thresholds (34°C+) remain improbable without unusual warm advection. Minor model variations in wind speed or dew points create the tight clustering around 29–32°C, with traders weighting official agency consensus and short-term stability ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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