Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 most likely in the 26–28°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Early September marks the seasonal transition from the East Asian summer monsoon, featuring increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating daytime highs near or slightly below late-August averages of 27–29°C. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity (85–90%) limit radiative heating while precipitation probabilities near 60–80% further cap peaks; ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 29°C absent clearer skies. Updated model runs ahead of landfall timing or pressure shifts will refine these estimates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 1?
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 26%
25°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
26%
27°C
31%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 26%
25°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
21°C or below
$186 KL.
<1%
22°C
$186 KL.
<1%
23°C
$30 KL.
1%
24°C
$0 KL.
3%
25°C
$0 KL.
8%
26°C
$128 KL.
26%
27°C
$126 KL.
31%
28°C
$63 KL.
28%
29°C
$64 KL.
7%
30°C
$24 KL.
7%
31°C or higher
$57 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 most likely in the 26–28°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Early September marks the seasonal transition from the East Asian summer monsoon, featuring increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating daytime highs near or slightly below late-August averages of 27–29°C. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity (85–90%) limit radiative heating while precipitation probabilities near 60–80% further cap peaks; ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 29°C absent clearer skies. Updated model runs ahead of landfall timing or pressure shifts will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$863Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 most likely in the 26–28°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Early September marks the seasonal transition from the East Asian summer monsoon, featuring increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating daytime highs near or slightly below late-August averages of 27–29°C. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity (85–90%) limit radiative heating while precipitation probabilities near 60–80% further cap peaks; ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 29°C absent clearer skies. Updated model runs ahead of landfall timing or pressure shifts will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$863Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature for Incheon/Seoul on September 1 most likely in the 26–28°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Early September marks the seasonal transition from the East Asian summer monsoon, featuring increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating daytime highs near or slightly below late-August averages of 27–29°C. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity (85–90%) limit radiative heating while precipitation probabilities near 60–80% further cap peaks; ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 29°C absent clearer skies. Updated model runs ahead of landfall timing or pressure shifts will refine these estimates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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