Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a daytime maximum of 23°C for London on 30 August under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, following heavy rain on the 29th that clears overnight. This places the peak near the long-term average high of 22°C while allowing modest warming from reduced cloud and limited convective inhibition. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 22–23°C because forecast spread remains modest, with only minor model disagreements on exact timing of any residual showers or diurnal heating peaks. Historical analogs for late-August clear spells after Atlantic fronts support similar outcomes, though any unexpected increase in insolation or delayed frontal passage could nudge readings toward 24°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 30?
23°C 39%
22°C 37%
24°C 11%
21°C 9%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
37%
23°C
39%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
22°C 37%
24°C 11%
21°C 9%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
37%
23°C
39%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a daytime maximum of 23°C for London on 30 August under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, following heavy rain on the 29th that clears overnight. This places the peak near the long-term average high of 22°C while allowing modest warming from reduced cloud and limited convective inhibition. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 22–23°C because forecast spread remains modest, with only minor model disagreements on exact timing of any residual showers or diurnal heating peaks. Historical analogs for late-August clear spells after Atlantic fronts support similar outcomes, though any unexpected increase in insolation or delayed frontal passage could nudge readings toward 24°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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