Current forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–25°C on August 30, driven by the peak of the rainy season when afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover limit solar heating at Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation. Persistent moisture and light winds favor scattered showers that suppress temperatures below historical August averages of 24–26°C, while the urban heat island effect provides modest warming. Recent model runs show close agreement on these values with limited spread, explaining the tight market clustering around 24°C and 25°C; any shift in timing or intensity of rainfall could tip the outcome between these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
25°C 42%
24°C 37%
26°C or higher 11%
23°C 10%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
37%
25°C
42%
26°C or higher
11%
25°C 42%
24°C 37%
26°C or higher 11%
23°C 10%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
37%
25°C
42%
26°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–25°C on August 30, driven by the peak of the rainy season when afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover limit solar heating at Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation. Persistent moisture and light winds favor scattered showers that suppress temperatures below historical August averages of 24–26°C, while the urban heat island effect provides modest warming. Recent model runs show close agreement on these values with limited spread, explaining the tight market clustering around 24°C and 25°C; any shift in timing or intensity of rainfall could tip the outcome between these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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