Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Friday high in the mid-90s for Houston as the longstanding heat ridge shifts westward, ending a multi-day stretch above 100°F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% introduce key uncertainty, with earlier or stronger convection potentially increasing cloud cover, enhancing evaporative cooling, and capping the daily maximum below 95°F. This balance explains the near-even market split between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the limited but realistic risk of greater suppression or brief intensification under variable steering flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on August 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 28?
92-93°F 39%
94-95°F 38%
90-91°F 17%
96-97°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
39%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 39%
94-95°F 38%
90-91°F 17%
96-97°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
81°F or below
$29 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$29 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$29 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$29 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$7 KL.
5%
90-91°F
$45 KL.
17%
92-93°F
$146 KL.
39%
94-95°F
$54 KL.
38%
96-97°F
$205 KL.
6%
98-99°F
$0 KL.
1%
100°F or higher
$39 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Friday high in the mid-90s for Houston as the longstanding heat ridge shifts westward, ending a multi-day stretch above 100°F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% introduce key uncertainty, with earlier or stronger convection potentially increasing cloud cover, enhancing evaporative cooling, and capping the daily maximum below 95°F. This balance explains the near-even market split between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the limited but realistic risk of greater suppression or brief intensification under variable steering flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$613Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Friday high in the mid-90s for Houston as the longstanding heat ridge shifts westward, ending a multi-day stretch above 100°F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% introduce key uncertainty, with earlier or stronger convection potentially increasing cloud cover, enhancing evaporative cooling, and capping the daily maximum below 95°F. This balance explains the near-even market split between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the limited but realistic risk of greater suppression or brief intensification under variable steering flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$613Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Friday high in the mid-90s for Houston as the longstanding heat ridge shifts westward, ending a multi-day stretch above 100°F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% introduce key uncertainty, with earlier or stronger convection potentially increasing cloud cover, enhancing evaporative cooling, and capping the daily maximum below 95°F. This balance explains the near-even market split between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the limited but realistic risk of greater suppression or brief intensification under variable steering flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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