**Trader sentiment for Singapore's highest temperature on August 27, 2026, centers on 32°C (57.5% implied probability) as the consensus outcome, with 31°C and 33°C as notable alternatives.** This reflects model consensus around typical late-August conditions under prevailing southwest monsoon flow, which favors southeasterly or southwesterly winds, localized afternoon thundery showers, and below-average rainfall. Official guidance from the Meteorological Service Singapore highlights daily maxima of 33–34°C across the fortnight, occasionally reaching 35°C, consistent with recent early-August readings that frequently exceeded 33°C and peaked near 34.9°C. However, day-specific forecasts for the 27th cluster near 31–32°C due to expected convective activity that can cap peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. High humidity (often 70–90%) and a heat index well above actual air temperature further shape perceptions, though resolution hinges on official maximum observations, likely from Changi or central stations. Recent developments include persistent monsoon conditions and regional dryness potentially linked to Sumatran/Kalimantan hotspots, but these primarily influence haze risk rather than direct temperature shifts. Historical August averages near 31°C and the absence of strong anomalies support the tight clustering around 31–33°C, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and the timing of any showers as key variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on August 27?
32°C 57%
31°C 25%
33°C 14%
30°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
25%
32°C
57%
33°C
14%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 25%
33°C 14%
30°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
25%
32°C
57%
33°C
14%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Singapore's highest temperature on August 27, 2026, centers on 32°C (57.5% implied probability) as the consensus outcome, with 31°C and 33°C as notable alternatives.** This reflects model consensus around typical late-August conditions under prevailing southwest monsoon flow, which favors southeasterly or southwesterly winds, localized afternoon thundery showers, and below-average rainfall. Official guidance from the Meteorological Service Singapore highlights daily maxima of 33–34°C across the fortnight, occasionally reaching 35°C, consistent with recent early-August readings that frequently exceeded 33°C and peaked near 34.9°C. However, day-specific forecasts for the 27th cluster near 31–32°C due to expected convective activity that can cap peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. High humidity (often 70–90%) and a heat index well above actual air temperature further shape perceptions, though resolution hinges on official maximum observations, likely from Changi or central stations. Recent developments include persistent monsoon conditions and regional dryness potentially linked to Sumatran/Kalimantan hotspots, but these primarily influence haze risk rather than direct temperature shifts. Historical August averages near 31°C and the absence of strong anomalies support the tight clustering around 31–33°C, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and the timing of any showers as key variables ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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